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Impact of a 'no deal' Brexit across the UK

UK businesses are dealing with significant levels of political turmoil and feel that no deal is hurtling closer. The impacts of a no deal are vast and will impact every region and nation of the UK. From the South West of England, to the North East of Scotland, businesses are telling us a no deal would be a disaster for the UK economy, for businesses and for individual livelihoods. 

Read more about what CBI members are saying about the impacts for their businesses.

Businesses interested in hearing more about the CBI’s Brexit work can contact the EU Negotiations team.

Use the interactive map below to see more information about the business and economic impacts of a "no deal" Brexit in each region and nation.

 

  • East Midlands

    East Midlands

    No deal impact: annual loss of £12bn by 2034 (more than public spending on health services, including all hospitals, GP surgeries and emergency health services)

    Exports to the EU (as a percentage of total exports): 48.0%

    Top three business sectors in terms of GVA (excluding real estate):

    Manufacturing: Concerns over supply chains, tariffs and the effect on just in time deliveries.

    Wholesale & retail: Concerns around tariffs, supply chain distribution, fall in sterling and inflation.

    Construction: Concerns around economic downturn, access to people and supply chain disruption.

    Find out what businesses in the East Midlands are saying about a "no deal" Brexit

    Find out more about the risks of a "no deal" Brexit to the East Midlands economy

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  • East of England

    East of England

    No deal impact: annual loss of £17bn by 2034 (double annual public spending on education in the region, including all schools and colleges)

    Exports to the EU (as a percentage of total exports): 49.6%

    Top three business sectors in terms of GVA (excluding real estate):

    Manufacturing: Concerns over supply chains, tariffs and the effect on just in time deliveries.

    Wholesale & retail: Concerns around tariffs, supply chain distribution, fall in sterling and inflation.

    Construction: Concerns around economic downturn, access to people and supply chain disruption.

    Find out what businesses in the East of England are saying about a "no deal" Brexit

    Find out more about the risks of a "no deal" Brexit to the East of England's economy

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  • London

    London

    No deal impact: annual loss of £40bn by 2034 (nearly five times the annual public spending on London’s transport network and 13 times annual public spending on policing in the capital)

    Exports to the EU (as a percentage of total exports): 38.4%

    Top three business sectors in terms of GVA (excluding real estate):

    Financial & insurance: Concerns around restrictions to services, regulatory uncertainty and threat to the free flow of data.

    Professional, scientific & technical services: Concerns around skilled labour, border disruption and long-term funding shortages.

    Information & communication: Concerns around the barriers to the free flow of data and skilled people.

    Find out what businesses in London are saying about a "no deal" Brexit

    Find out more about the risks of a "no deal" Brexit to London's economy

    X
  • North East

    North East

    No deal impact: annual loss of £7bn a year by 2034 (equivalent to twice public spending on schools and education in the region)

    Exports to the EU (as a percentage of total exports): 55.3%

    Top three business sectors in terms of GVA (excluding real estate):

    Manufacturing: Concerns over supply chains, tariffs and the effect on just in time deliveries.

    Wholesale & retail: Concerns around tariffs, supply chain distribution, fall in sterling and inflation.

    Construction: Concerns around economic downturn, access to people and supply chain disruption.

    Find out what businesses in the North East are saying about a "no deal" Brexit

    Find out more about the risks of a "no deal" Brexit to the North East's economy

    X
  • North West

    North West

    No deal impact: annual loss of £20bn by 2034 (more than double public spending on schools and education in the region)

    Exports to the EU (as a percentage of total exports): 40.2%

    Top three business sectors in terms of GVA (excluding real estate):

    Manufacturing: Concerning over supply chains, tariffs and the effect on just-in-time deliveries

    Wholesale & retail: Concerns around tariffs, fall in sterling, food inflation and less choice for the consumer.

    Professional, scientific & technical activities: Concerns around skilled labour, border disruption and long-term funding shortages.

    Find out what businesses in the North West are saying about a "no deal" Brexit

    Find out more about the risks of a "no deal" Brexit to the North West's economy

    X
  • Northern Ireland

    Northern Ireland

    No deal impact: annual loss of £5bn by 2034 (more than annual public spending on hospitals, GP surgeries and other health services across Northern Ireland)

    Goods exports to the EU (as a percentage of total goods exports): 74.14%

    Top three business sectors in terms of GVA (excluding real estate):

    Manufacturing: Concerns over supply chains, tariffs and the effect on just in time deliveries.

    Wholesale & retail: Concerns around tariffs, supply chain distribution, fall in sterling and inflation.

    Construction: Concerns around economic downturn, access to people and supply chain disruption.

    Find out what businesses in Northern Ireland are saying about a "no deal" Brexit

    Find out more about the risks of a "no deal" Brexit to Northern Ireland's economy

    X
  • Scotland

    Scotland

    No deal impact: annual loss of £14bn by 2034 (more than annual public spending on hospitals, GP surgeries and other health services across Scotland)

    Exports to the EU (as a percentage of total exports): 46.2%

    Top three business sectors in terms of GVA (excluding real estate):

    Manufacturing: Concerns over supply chains, tariffs and the effect on just in time deliveries.

    Wholesale & retail: Concerns around tariffs, supply chain distribution, fall in sterling and inflation.

    Financial & insurance: Concerns around restrictions to services, regulatory uncertainty and threat to the free flow of data.

    Find out what businesses in Scotland are saying about a "no deal" Brexit

    Find out more about the risks of a "no deal" Brexit to Scotland's economy

    X
  • South East

    South East

    No deal impact: annual loss of £28bn by 2034 (equivalent to one-and-a-half times the annual value of public spending on doctors, hospitals and other health services in the region)

    Exports to the EU (as a percentage of total exports): 46.7%

    Top three business sectors in terms of GVA (excluding real estate):

    Wholesale & retail: Concerns around tariffs, supply chain distribution, fall in sterling and inflation.

    Information & communication: Concerns around the barriers to the free flow of data and skilled people.

    Professional, scientific & technical activities: Concerns around skilled labour, border disruption and long-term funding shortages.

    Find out what businesses in the South East are saying about a "no deal" Brexit

    Find out more about the risks of a "no deal" Brexit to the South East's economy

    X
  • South West

    South West

    No deal impact: annual loss of £13bn by 2034 (more than the value of annual public spending on doctors, hospitals and other health services in the region)

    Exports to the EU (as a percentage of total exports): 42.1%

    Top three business sectors in terms of GVA (excluding real estate):

    Manufacturing: Concerns over supply chains, tariffs and the effect on just in time deliveries.

    Wholesale & retail: Concerns around tariffs, supply chain distribution, fall in sterling and inflation.

    Construction: Concerns around economic downturn, access to people and supply chain disruption.

    Find out what businesses in the South West are saying about a "no deal" Brexit

    Find out more about the risks of a "no deal" Brexit to the South West's economy

    X
  • Wales

    Wales

    No deal impact: annual loss of £7bn a year by 2034 (equivalent to annual public spending on hospitals, GP surgeries and other health services across Wales each year)

    Exports to the EU (as a percentage of total exports): 57.6%

    Top three business sectors in terms of GVA (excluding real estate):

    Manufacturing: Concerns over supply chains, tariffs and the effect on just in time deliveries.

    Wholesale & retail: Concerns around tariffs, supply chain distribution, fall in sterling and inflation.

    Construction: Concerns around economic downturn, access to people and supply chain disruption.

    Find out what businesses in Wales are saying about a "no deal" Brexit

    Find out more about the risks of a "no deal" Brexit to Wales' economy

    X
  • West Midlands

    West Midlands

    No deal impact: annual loss of £18bn by 2034 (double the value of annual public spending on education, including all schools and colleges, in the region)

    Exports to the EU (as a percentage of total exports): 42.7%

    Top three business sectors in terms of GVA (excluding real estate):

    Manufacturing: Concerns over supply chains, tariffs and the effect on just in time deliveries.

    Wholesale & retail: Concerns around tariffs, supply chain distribution, fall in sterling and inflation.

    Construction: Concerns around economic downturn, access to people and supply chain disruption.

    Find out what businesses in the West Midlands are saying about a "no deal" Brexit

    Find out more about the risks of a "no deal" Brexit to the West Midlands' economy

    X
  • Yorkshire and the Humber

    Yorkshire and the Humber

    No deal impact: annual loss of £12bn by 2034 (equivalent to annual public spending on health, including all hospitals, GP surgeries and emergency health services)

    Exports to the EU (as a percentage of total exports): 52.7%

    Top three business sectors in terms of GVA (excluding real estate):

    Manufacturing: Concerns over supply chains, tariffs and the effect on just in time deliveries.

    Wholesale & retail: Concerns around tariffs, supply chain distribution, fall in sterling and inflation.

    Construction: Concerns around economic downturn, access to people and supply chain disruption.

    Find out what businesses in Yorkshire and the Humber are saying about a "no deal" Brexit

    Find out more about the risks of a "no deal" Brexit to Yorkshire and the Humber's economy

    X

 

Businesses interested in hearing more about the CBI’s Brexit work can contact the EU Negotiations team.